Napoli (K) 0-4 Lazio (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.75
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
43%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
23%
+2.5pp
31%
Draw
25%
+6.4pp
43%
Away Win
52%
-8.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.3pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napoli (K) EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Lazio (K) EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -3%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
215 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.0
Crosses 28.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napoli (K)
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Lazio (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
28% Ball Possession 72%
2 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 6
13.10.2024 Lazio (K) Lazio (K) 0-0 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napoli (K)
0-4
AWAY Lazio (K)
0.86 xG 1.35
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 2
219 Passes 386
69% Pass Accuracy 82%
9 Box Touches 24
10 Crosses 13
POST-MATCH Napoli (K) vs Lazio (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lazio (K) ran out comfortable winners over Napoli (K) 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lazio (K) as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Napoli (K) had 42% of the ball to Lazio (K)'s 58%, shots finished 6-14, expected goals 0.86 to 1.35.

What was the final score of Napoli (K) vs Lazio (K)?

Napoli (K) 0-4 Lazio (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napoli (K) vs Lazio (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lazio (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Napoli (K) 26%, draw 31%, Lazio (K) 43%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lazio (K)), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lazio (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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