Al Dhafra 2-1 Emirates — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-8.2pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.0pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.6pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Dhafra EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Emirates EU Bookmakers 31%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.73/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/2.00
+5% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
269 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Dhafra
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Emirates
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.04 xG 0.73
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
399 Passes 206
78% Pass Accuracy 67%
24 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
19.02.2022 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra 0-0 HT 0-0 Emirates Emirates BAE
23.01.2022 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra 3-2 HT 1-1 Emirates Emirates BAELK
10.09.2021 Emirates Emirates 0-3 HT 0-1 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra BAE
24.10.2015 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra 2-3 HT 2-3 Emirates Emirates BAE
07.03.2015 Emirates Emirates 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra BAE
03.03.2014 Emirates Emirates 0-4 HT 0-2 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra BAELK
POST-MATCH Al Dhafra vs Emirates
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Dhafra edged past Emirates 2-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Al Dhafra found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Dhafra had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Dhafra and 0.83 for Emirates.

What was the final score of Al Dhafra vs Emirates?

Al Dhafra 2-1 Emirates in the UAE - 1st Division on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Dhafra vs Emirates?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Dhafra win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Al Dhafra 40%, draw 27%, Emirates 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Dhafra), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Dhafra) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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