Yacoub El Mansour 3-1 Kawkab Marrakech — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Botola 2, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.09
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
23%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.52
Over
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
40%
2-3
36%
4-5
16%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
22%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
46%
Home Win
44%
+2.1pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.0pp
23%
Away Win
25%
-2.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-2.6pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yacoub El Mansour The Market 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Kawkab Marrakech The Market 29%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.99/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/0.79
+66% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +42%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yacoub El Mansour
3-1
AWAY Kawkab Marrakech
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Yacoub El Mansour vs Kawkab Marrakech
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yacoub El Mansour beat Kawkab Marrakech 3-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Yacoub El Mansour as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Yacoub El Mansour had 47% of the ball to Kawkab Marrakech's 53%, shots finished 9-8.

What was the final score of Yacoub El Mansour vs Kawkab Marrakech?

Yacoub El Mansour 3-1 Kawkab Marrakech in the Morocco - Botola 2 on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yacoub El Mansour vs Kawkab Marrakech?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yacoub El Mansour win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Yacoub El Mansour 46%, draw 31%, Kawkab Marrakech 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yacoub El Mansour) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yacoub El Mansour) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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