Chippa United 2-2 Marumo Gallants — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.44
Over 2.5
45%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.27
No
58%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
1.93
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
6.07
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.5pp
27%
Draw
31%
-4.0pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
66%
-10.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
34%
+10.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.5pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chippa United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Marumo Gallants EU Bookmakers 30%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.14/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.12
+17% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
277 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
19.1 Crosses 20.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chippa United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Marumo Gallants
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.74 xG 1.60
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
294 Passes 409
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Box Touches 20
11 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.04.2023 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 3-1 HT 0-1 Chippa United Chippa United GAFPSL
17.09.2022 Chippa United Chippa United 1-0 HT 0-0 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAFPSL
16.03.2022 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 0-0 HT 0-0 Chippa United Chippa United GAFPSL
26.02.2022 Chippa United Chippa United 2-3 HT 1-1 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAFPSL
02.06.2021 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 0-0 HT 0-0 Chippa United Chippa United GAFPSL
08.05.2021 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 1-0 HT 1-0 Chippa United Chippa United GAFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chippa United
2-2
AWAY Marumo Gallants
2.96 xG 2.31
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
307 Passes 205
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
23 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Chippa United vs Marumo Gallants
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chippa United and Marumo Gallants shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chippa United had 57% of the ball to Marumo Gallants's 43%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 2.96 to 2.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marumo Gallants led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Chippa United and 1.17 for Marumo Gallants.

What was the final score of Chippa United vs Marumo Gallants?

Chippa United 2-2 Marumo Gallants in the South Afrika - Premier League on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chippa United vs Marumo Gallants?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chippa United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Chippa United 40%, draw 27%, Marumo Gallants 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chippa United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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