ABD vs Venezuela Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
ABD v Venezuela — Team-Based Signals
ABD vs Venezuela Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-3
Venezuela
HAZ
1-1
HT 0-1
Venezuela
HAZ
2-0
HT 1-0
Venezuela
HAZ
ABD 3-1 Venezuela — Actual Match Statistics
ABD saw off Venezuela 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 32% / 28% — and on the day ABD made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, ABD had 66% of the ball to Venezuela's 34%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 2.35 to 0.36.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for ABD and 1.33 for Venezuela.
What was the final score of ABD vs Venezuela?
ABD 3-1 Venezuela in the Friendlies on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for ABD vs Venezuela?
Before kick-off our model rated a ABD win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split ABD 39%, draw 32%, Venezuela 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ABD) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.