PSV Eindhoven (K) 4-0 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 18 Jan 2025

PSV Eindhoven (K)
4-0 HT 3-0
Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
📅18/01/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✓
Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie – 2025/2026

PSV Eindhoven (K) vs Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
73%
1.11
Draw
16%
8.78
Away
11%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
26%
X/2
5%
X/X
3%
2/1
4%
2/2
3%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
73%
Home Win
85%
-12.1pp
16%
Draw
8%
+7.5pp
11%
Away Win
6%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

PSV Eindhoven (K) v Excelsior Barendrecht (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSV Eindhoven (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Excelsior Barendrecht (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
3.27/0.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/3.29
+22% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -19%
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
501 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 75%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
28.7 Crosses 10.7
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.4

PSV Eindhoven (K) vs Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSV Eindhoven (K)
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
70% Ball Possession 30%
20 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 2
14 Corners 2
451 Passes 126
85% Pass Accuracy 57%
30 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
02.11.2024 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 0-4 HT 0-4 PSV Eindhoven (K) PSV Eindhoven (K) HOLK1
05.11.2023 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 PSV Eindhoven (K) PSV Eindhoven (K) HOLK1

PSV Eindhoven (K) 4-0 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSV Eindhoven (K)
4-0
AWAY Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
65% Ball Possession 35%
28 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 2
455 Passes 231
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
39 Crosses 5
POST-MATCH PSV Eindhoven (K) vs Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV Eindhoven (K) swept aside Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had PSV Eindhoven (K) as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, PSV Eindhoven (K) had 65% of the ball to Excelsior Barendrecht (K)'s 35%, shots finished 28-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, PSV Eindhoven (K) had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for PSV Eindhoven (K) and 0.50 for Excelsior Barendrecht (K).

What was the final score of PSV Eindhoven (K) vs Excelsior Barendrecht (K)?

PSV Eindhoven (K) 4-0 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSV Eindhoven (K) vs Excelsior Barendrecht (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSV Eindhoven (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split PSV Eindhoven (K) 73%, draw 16%, Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 11%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSV Eindhoven (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PSV Eindhoven (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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