Universitatea Cluj 2-1 Buzau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.47
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
17%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.16
No
46%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2.82
2-3 Goals
44%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.7
6+ Goals
12%
16.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
12%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
64%
-7.7pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.5pp
17%
Away Win
14%
+3.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
42%
+11.5pp
46%
BTTS No
58%
-11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitatea Cluj EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Buzau EU Bookmakers 17%
-19% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.37/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.34
-59% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -24%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
404 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 76%
32.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
28.1 Crosses 14.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitatea Cluj
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Buzau
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.62 xG 0.20
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
434 Passes 322
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.08.2024 Buzau Buzau 0-2 HT 0-2 Universitatea Cluj Universitatea Cluj ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitatea Cluj
2-1
AWAY Buzau
3.18 xG 0.77
67% Ball Possession 33%
20 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
462 Passes 194
86% Pass Accuracy 70%
42 Box Touches 10
41 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Universitatea Cluj vs Buzau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitatea Cluj edged past Buzau 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Universitatea Cluj as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Universitatea Cluj had 67% of the ball to Buzau's 33%, shots finished 20-5, expected goals 3.18 to 0.77 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Universitatea Cluj's control.

What was the final score of Universitatea Cluj vs Buzau?

Universitatea Cluj 2-1 Buzau in the Romania - 1st Division on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitatea Cluj vs Buzau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitatea Cluj win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Universitatea Cluj 56%, draw 27%, Buzau 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitatea Cluj), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Universitatea Cluj) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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