Aberdeen 1-0 Raith Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Cup, 18 Jan 2026

Aberdeen
1-0 HT 1-0
Raith Rovers
📅18/01/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Scotland - Cup – 2025/2026

Aberdeen vs Raith Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.61
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.97
Over 2.5
56%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.48
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.2
6+ Goals
12%
11.3
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.2 — our 25% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
58%
-1.8pp
20%
Draw
23%
-3.5pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+5.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
47%
-2.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
53%
+2.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.4pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aberdeen v Raith Rovers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aberdeen EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Raith Rovers EU Bookmakers 22%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
2.97/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.94
+30% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
400 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
11.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
25.0 Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

Aberdeen vs Raith Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aberdeen
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Raith Rovers
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.45 xG 1.36
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
516 Passes 194
83% Pass Accuracy 66%
16 Box Touches 13
28 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
24.07.2022 Aberdeen Aberdeen 3-0 HT 2-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKLK
15.08.2021 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 2-1 HT 0-1 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKLK
12.07.2015 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 0-2 HT 0-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen HAZ
22.09.2010 Aberdeen Aberdeen 3-2 HT 1-2 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKLK
16.02.2010 Aberdeen Aberdeen 0-1 HT 0-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKK
06.02.2010 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 1-1 HT 1-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKK
POST-MATCH Aberdeen vs Raith Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aberdeen squeezed past Raith Rovers 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Aberdeen as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aberdeen had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Aberdeen and 1.00 for Raith Rovers.

What was the final score of Aberdeen vs Raith Rovers?

Aberdeen 1-0 Raith Rovers in the Scotland - Cup on 18/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aberdeen vs Raith Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aberdeen win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Aberdeen 56%, draw 20%, Raith Rovers 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aberdeen) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aberdeen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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İKK More Scotland - Cup
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