Ternana (K) 1-0 Lazio (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 18 Jan 2026

Ternana (K)
1-0 HT 0-0
Lazio (K)
📅18/01/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Italya - Women's Serie A – 2025/2026

Ternana (K) vs Lazio (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
4.04
Draw
32%
3.72
Away
53%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.73
No
43%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
13%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
22%
-6.6pp
32%
Draw
24%
+8.3pp
53%
Away Win
55%
-1.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
54%
+3.5pp
43%
BTTS No
46%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ternana (K) v Lazio (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ternana (K) EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Lazio (K) EU Bookmakers 59%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.55/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/0.87
+43% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +89%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
297 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 411 · 82%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
14.7 Crosses 19.6
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Ternana (K) 1-0 Lazio (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ternana (K)
1-0
AWAY Lazio (K)
0.50 xG 0.70
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
129 Passes 218
59% Pass Accuracy 69%
10 Box Touches 14
11 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Ternana (K) vs Lazio (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ternana (K) squeezed past Lazio (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Lazio (K) at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ternana (K) had 41% of the ball to Lazio (K)'s 59%, shots finished 8-7, expected goals 0.50 to 0.70.

What was the final score of Ternana (K) vs Lazio (K)?

Ternana (K) 1-0 Lazio (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 18/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ternana (K) vs Lazio (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lazio (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Ternana (K) 15%, draw 32%, Lazio (K) 53%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lazio (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTKSA More Italya - Women's Serie A
18 Jan 2026
14:30 Roma (K) vs Sassuolo (K) Analysis →
17:30 Inter Milano (K) vs Juventus (K) Analysis →