Karela 0-1 Samatex — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Gana - Premier League, 18 Jan 2026

📅18/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.9
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
16%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.53
No
59%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
11%
2/2
4%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
49%
+6.1pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.0pp
16%
Away Win
20%
-4.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
36%
+5.6pp
59%
BTTS No
64%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karela EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Samatex EU Bookmakers 23%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.15/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.41/1.03
-2% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karela
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Samatex
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
21.09.2025 Samatex 1-1 HT 0-1 Karela GANA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karela
0-1
AWAY Samatex
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Karela vs Samatex
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Samatex nicked a narrow win over Karela 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Karela at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Karela had 56% of the ball to Samatex's 44%, shots finished 12-4.

What was the final score of Karela vs Samatex?

Karela 0-1 Samatex in the Gana - Premier League on 18/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karela vs Samatex?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karela win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Karela 55%, draw 29%, Samatex 16%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Karela) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Karela) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GANA More Gana - Premier League
18 Jan 2026
18:00 Young Apostles vs Hohoe United Analysis →
18:00 Berekum Chelsea vs Gamba All Blacks Analysis →
18:00 Heart of Lions vs Eleven Wonders Analysis →
18:30 Nations vs Aduana Stars Analysis →