Sparta Prag 2-1 Slovan Liberec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.57
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
25%
2.83
6+ Goals
13%
8.01
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
66%
-10.0pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.9pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+6.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.0pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Slovan Liberec EU Bookmakers 17%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +1%
2.41/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.67
+25% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
353 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Prag
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Slovan Liberec
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.09.2023 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 0-2 HT 0-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
30.04.2023 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 1-3 HT 1-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
01.03.2023 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 2-2 HT 1-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEKK
31.07.2022 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 1-2 HT 0-2 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
28.11.2021 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-1 HT 1-1 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
31.07.2021 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 0-5 HT 0-1 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Prag
2-1
AWAY Slovan Liberec
2.09 xG 1.38
61% Ball Possession 39%
21 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 4
417 Passes 227
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
41 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sparta Prag vs Slovan Liberec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Prag squeezed past Slovan Liberec 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sparta Prag as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sparta Prag had 61% of the ball to Slovan Liberec's 39%, shots finished 21-15, expected goals 2.09 to 1.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Prag had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Sparta Prag and 1.00 for Slovan Liberec.

What was the final score of Sparta Prag vs Slovan Liberec?

Sparta Prag 2-1 Slovan Liberec in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Prag vs Slovan Liberec?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Sparta Prag 56%, draw 23%, Slovan Liberec 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Prag), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sparta Prag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇEK More Czech Republic - Czech Liga
18 Feb 2024
17:00 FC Fastav Zlin vs Slovacko Analysis →
17:00 Karvina vs Slavia Prag Analysis →