Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 0-1 Liverpool (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
36%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.91
Over 2.5
41%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.68
No
58%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
21%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.3pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
36%
Away Win
42%
-6.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
48%
+10.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
52%
-10.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
56%
-13.1pp
58%
BTTS No
44%
+13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion (K) EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Liverpool (K) EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Liverpool (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.94 xG 0.48
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
303 Passes 206
72% Pass Accuracy 65%
11 Box Touches 6
12 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 0
06.01.2019 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) İNKPL
23.09.2018 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) İNKPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
0-1
AWAY Liverpool (K)
0.27 xG 1.44
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
351 Passes 256
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 13
27 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Brighton & Hove Albion (K) vs Liverpool (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool (K) edged past Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 36%) promised a tight game; Liverpool (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Brighton & Hove Albion (K) had 56% of the ball to Liverpool (K)'s 44%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.27 to 1.44.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Brighton & Hove Albion (K) and 0.50 for Liverpool (K).

What was the final score of Brighton & Hove Albion (K) vs Liverpool (K)?

Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 0-1 Liverpool (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brighton & Hove Albion (K) vs Liverpool (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Liverpool (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 35%, draw 29%, Liverpool (K) 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool (K)), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Liverpool (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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