Tottenham Hotspur (K) 1-2 Aston Villa (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
45%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
4%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
35%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
46%
-19.5pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.7pp
45%
Away Win
30%
+15.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.8pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tottenham Hotspur (K) EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Aston Villa (K) EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -43% / -43%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -38%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
320 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tottenham Hotspur (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Aston Villa (K)
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
18 Total Shots 11
11 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
21.10.2023 Aston Villa (K) Aston Villa (K) 2-4 HT 1-2 Tottenham Hotspur (K) Tottenham Hotspur (K) İNKPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tottenham Hotspur (K)
1-2
AWAY Aston Villa (K)
1.10 xG 0.95
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
338 Passes 426
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Tottenham Hotspur (K) vs Aston Villa (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aston Villa (K) edged past Tottenham Hotspur (K) 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Aston Villa (K) as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Tottenham Hotspur (K) had 46% of the ball to Aston Villa (K)'s 54%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 1.10 to 0.95.

What was the final score of Tottenham Hotspur (K) vs Aston Villa (K)?

Tottenham Hotspur (K) 1-2 Aston Villa (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tottenham Hotspur (K) vs Aston Villa (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aston Villa (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Tottenham Hotspur (K) 26%, draw 29%, Aston Villa (K) 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aston Villa (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aston Villa (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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