Leganes 3-0 Alcorcon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 18 Feb 2024

Leganes
3-0 HT 1-0
Alcorcon
📅18/02/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Leganes vs Alcorcon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.45
Over 2.5
35%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.4
No
64%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
1.99
2-3 Goals
35%
1.82
4-5 Goals
16%
6.45
6+ Goals
9%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.58
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
16.45
X/1
24%
3.72
X/2
7%
8.33
X/X
14%
3.44
2/1
9%
34.0
2/2
9%
7.84
2/X
8%
17.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
50%
+0.1pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.3pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+1.2pp
65%
Under 2.5
65%
-0.2pp
35%
Over 2.5
35%
+0.2pp
36%
BTTS Yes
38%
-1.2pp
64%
BTTS No
62%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leganes v Alcorcon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leganes EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Alcorcon EU Bookmakers 23%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +12%
1.47/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.38
+14% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
351 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 74%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
18.7 Crosses 14.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6

Leganes vs Alcorcon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leganes
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Alcorcon
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.64 xG 0.92
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
321 Passes 272
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
23 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
05.01.2024 Alcorcon Alcorcon 0-0 Leganes Leganes HAZ
19.08.2023 Alcorcon Alcorcon 0-2 HT 0-0 Leganes Leganes İS2
03.08.2022 Alcorcon Alcorcon 1-2 HT 0-2 Leganes Leganes HAZ
30.01.2022 Leganes Leganes 1-0 HT 0-0 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS2
20.10.2021 Alcorcon Alcorcon 3-3 HT 2-2 Leganes Leganes İS2
25.04.2021 Alcorcon Alcorcon 1-2 HT 1-1 Leganes Leganes İS2

Leganes 3-0 Alcorcon — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leganes
3-0
AWAY Alcorcon
2.05 xG 1.40
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
363 Passes 215
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
30 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Leganes vs Alcorcon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leganes cruised past Alcorcon 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Leganes as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (64%) landed while under 2.5 goals (65%) missed.

On the day, Leganes had 60% of the ball to Alcorcon's 40%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 2.05 to 1.40.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leganes had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Leganes and 0.83 for Alcorcon.

What was the final score of Leganes vs Alcorcon?

Leganes 3-0 Alcorcon in the Spain - 2nd Division on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leganes vs Alcorcon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leganes win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Leganes 50%, draw 28%, Alcorcon 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leganes), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leganes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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