Maccabi Haifa 1-1 Hapoel Haifa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 18 Feb 2024

Maccabi Haifa
1-1 HT 1-0
Hapoel Haifa
📅18/02/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Israel - Ligat HaAl – 2025/2026

Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Haifa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.43
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
27%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.72
2-3 Goals
34%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.2
6+ Goals
12%
11.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.72 — our 31% vs market 21.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
65%
-12.5pp
20%
Draw
20%
-0.8pp
27%
Away Win
14%
+13.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.7pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Maccabi Haifa v Hapoel Haifa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maccabi Haifa EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Hapoel Haifa EU Bookmakers 17%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
2.54/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/3.37
+10% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -59%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
428 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 71%
32.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
20.9 Crosses 22.0
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.0

Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Haifa Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maccabi Haifa
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Hapoel Haifa
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.45 xG 0.87
47% Ball Possession 53%
21 Total Shots 16
9 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
301 Passes 319
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
30 Box Touches 28
9 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.12.2023 Hapoel Haifa Hapoel Haifa 0-3 HT 0-1 Maccabi Haifa Maccabi Haifa İSR

Maccabi Haifa 1-1 Hapoel Haifa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maccabi Haifa
1-1
AWAY Hapoel Haifa
2.28 xG 2.01
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
388 Passes 239
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
35 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Haifa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maccabi Haifa and Hapoel Haifa shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Maccabi Haifa at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Maccabi Haifa had 61% of the ball to Hapoel Haifa's 39%, shots finished 17-17, expected goals 2.28 to 2.01.

What was the final score of Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Haifa?

Maccabi Haifa 1-1 Hapoel Haifa in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Haifa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maccabi Haifa win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Maccabi Haifa 53%, draw 20%, Hapoel Haifa 27%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Maccabi Haifa) ✗ BTTS No
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