Etoile Carouge 1-0 Bulle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
61%
-10.0pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.9pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.9pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Etoile Carouge EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Bulle EU Bookmakers 21%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
2.33/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.35
+8% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +57%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
361 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Etoile Carouge
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Bulle
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
12.08.2023 Bulle Bulle 1-2 HT 1-1 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV1Y
25.03.2023 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge 4-0 HT 0-0 Bulle Bulle İSV1Y
05.10.2022 Bulle Bulle 1-2 HT 1-1 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV1Y
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Etoile Carouge
1-0
AWAY Bulle
68% Ball Possession 32%
14 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Etoile Carouge vs Bulle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Etoile Carouge nicked a narrow win over Bulle 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Etoile Carouge as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Etoile Carouge had 68% of the ball to Bulle's 32%, shots finished 14-3.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Etoile Carouge had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Etoile Carouge and 0.67 for Bulle.

What was the final score of Etoile Carouge vs Bulle?

Etoile Carouge 1-0 Bulle in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Etoile Carouge vs Bulle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Etoile Carouge win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Etoile Carouge 51%, draw 22%, Bulle 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Etoile Carouge) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Etoile Carouge) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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