Venezia 2-2 Modena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.68
2-3 Goals
37%
1.75
4-5 Goals
25%
4.26
6+ Goals
11%
21.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.56
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
8%
14.1
X/1
12%
4.08
X/2
10%
7.81
X/X
9%
4.16
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
13%
6.38
2/X
7%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-2.0pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.1pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.2pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Venezia EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Modena EU Bookmakers 27%
+2% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
1.93/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.54
+22% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
415 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 76%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
21.7 Crosses 18.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Venezia
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Modena
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
1.92 xG 1.12
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
431 Passes 282
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2023 Modena Modena 1-3 HT 0-0 Venezia Venezia İTB
01.05.2023 Venezia Venezia 5-0 HT 1-0 Modena Modena İTB
08.12.2022 Modena Modena 2-2 HT 1-0 Venezia Venezia İTB
27.02.2005 Venezia Venezia 0-0 HT 0-0 Modena Modena İTB
10.10.2004 Modena Modena 1-0 HT 1-0 Venezia Venezia İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Venezia
2-2
AWAY Modena
2.13 xG 1.21
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
411 Passes 306
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 13
27 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Venezia vs Modena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Venezia and Modena couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Venezia at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Venezia had 56% of the ball to Modena's 44%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 2.13 to 1.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Venezia had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Venezia and 0.80 for Modena.

What was the final score of Venezia vs Modena?

Venezia 2-2 Modena in the Italy - Serie B on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Venezia vs Modena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Venezia win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Venezia 47%, draw 24%, Modena 29%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Venezia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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