18/02/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-1
Acireale vs Licata Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
54%
Over
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
No
43%
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
50%
4-5
20%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
15%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 57% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
33%
Home Win
39%
37%
Draw
24%
30%
Away Win
37%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Acireale v Licata — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Acireale
The Market 43%
Head to Head
AWAY
Licata
The Market 40%
-58% /
-58%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-50% /
-50%
1.00/2.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.00/3.00
-17%
/
-47%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+92%
/
-62%
46%
Ball Possession
54%
11
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
6
268 · 71%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
327 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Acireale vs Licata Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Acireale
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Licata
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Acireale vs Licata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Acireale beat Licata 2-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 37% / 30% — and on the day Acireale made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Acireale vs Licata?
Acireale 2-0 Licata in the Italy - Serie D on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Acireale vs Licata?
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Acireale 33%, draw 37%, Licata 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Draw), BTTS Yes went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Draw)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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İTD
More Italy - Serie D
18 Feb 2024