Victor San Marino 1-2 Corticella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
62%
Over
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
No
62%
Total Goals
0-1
43%
2-3
30%
4-5
22%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
43%
Home Win
45%
-1.7pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.7pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Victor San Marino The Market 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Corticella The Market 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +58% / +58%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +90% / +139%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Victor San Marino vs Corticella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Corticella nicked a narrow win over Victor San Marino 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Victor San Marino at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Victor San Marino vs Corticella?

Victor San Marino 1-2 Corticella in the Italy - Serie D on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Victor San Marino vs Corticella?

Before kick-off our model rated a Victor San Marino win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Victor San Marino 43%, draw 30%, Corticella 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Victor San Marino) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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