Thor Akureyri 5-1 Stjarnan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.67
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
51%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under
54%
Over
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
No Pick
61%
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
36%
4-5
23%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
30%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thor Akureyri The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Stjarnan The Market 43%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
3.18/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+90% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +75%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thor Akureyri
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Stjarnan
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
41% Ball Possession 59%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
19.02.2022 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 1-1 HT 1-1 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZLK
25.06.2018 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 0-0 HT 0-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZK
11.08.2014 Stjarnan Stjarnan 2-1 HT 1-0 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL
18.05.2014 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 3-4 HT 1-2 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
12.09.2013 Stjarnan Stjarnan 3-1 HT 2-1 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL
23.06.2013 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 1-1 HT 1-1 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
REVIEW Thor Akureyri vs Stjarnan
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Thor Akureyri ran out comfortable winners over Stjarnan 5-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. With 6 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

We leaned Stjarnan at 51% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. The market (2.32, about 43%) was more cautious than we were — this time the price read it better. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stjarnan led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Thor Akureyri against 1.83 for Stjarnan.

Thor Akureyri vs Stjarnan Result & Final Score

Thor Akureyri 5-1 Stjarnan in the Iceland - League Cup on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Thor Akureyri vs Stjarnan Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Stjarnan win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Thor Akureyri 27%, draw 22%, Stjarnan 51%. The final score 5-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Stjarnan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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