Erzgebirge Aue vs Dynamo Dresden Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Erzgebirge Aue v Dynamo Dresden — Team-Based Signals
Erzgebirge Aue vs Dynamo Dresden Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Erzgebirge Aue
AL3
1-0
HT 1-0
Erzgebirge Aue
AL3
0-1
HT 0-0
Dynamo Dresden
AL3
0-1
HT 0-0
Erzgebirge Aue
AL2
0-1
HT 0-0
Dynamo Dresden
AL2
2-1
HT 1-1
Erzgebirge Aue
AL2
Erzgebirge Aue 2-1 Dynamo Dresden — Actual Match Statistics
Erzgebirge Aue squeezed past Dynamo Dresden 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Dynamo Dresden at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Erzgebirge Aue had 47% of the ball to Dynamo Dresden's 53%, shots finished 12-15.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dynamo Dresden led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Erzgebirge Aue and 1.17 for Dynamo Dresden.
What was the final score of Erzgebirge Aue vs Dynamo Dresden?
Erzgebirge Aue 2-1 Dynamo Dresden in the Germany - 3rd Division on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Erzgebirge Aue vs Dynamo Dresden?
Before kick-off our model rated an Dynamo Dresden win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Erzgebirge Aue 29%, draw 27%, Dynamo Dresden 44%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dynamo Dresden) went the other way.