Bayer Leverkusen (K) 1-2 Hoffenheim (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
2.67
Draw
34%
3.35
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
12%
X/X
24%
2/1
10%
2/2
26%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
34%
-8.5pp
34%
Draw
26%
+7.7pp
41%
Away Win
40%
+0.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.9pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayer Leverkusen (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Hoffenheim (K) EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +95% / -26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayer Leverkusen (K)
1-2
AWAY Hoffenheim (K)
0.69 xG 1.09
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 1
424 Passes 328
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bayer Leverkusen (K) vs Hoffenheim (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hoffenheim (K) nicked a narrow win over Bayer Leverkusen (K) 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hoffenheim (K) as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Bayer Leverkusen (K) had 56% of the ball to Hoffenheim (K)'s 44%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 0.69 to 1.09.

What was the final score of Bayer Leverkusen (K) vs Hoffenheim (K)?

Bayer Leverkusen (K) 1-2 Hoffenheim (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayer Leverkusen (K) vs Hoffenheim (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hoffenheim (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Bayer Leverkusen (K) 25%, draw 34%, Hoffenheim (K) 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hoffenheim (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hoffenheim (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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