St. Albans Saints 1-2 Avondale Heights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 18 Feb 2024

St. Albans Saints
1-2 HT 1-1
Avondale Heights
📅18/02/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✓ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

St. Albans Saints vs Avondale Heights Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
7.78
Draw
23%
5.15
Away
58%
1.28
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.51
Over 2.5
59%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
37%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
10%
+8.9pp
23%
Draw
16%
+6.6pp
58%
Away Win
74%
-15.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+4.0pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

St. Albans Saints v Avondale Heights — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Albans Saints EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Avondale Heights EU Bookmakers 78%
-4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -4%
0.53/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.60/0.97
-54% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +12%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
183 · 63% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 440 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
13.5 Crosses 16.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8

St. Albans Saints vs Avondale Heights Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Albans Saints
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Avondale Heights
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
0.63 xG 2.64
30% Ball Possession 70%
6 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
116 Passes 446
57% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.07.2023 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints 1-2 HT 0-1 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
22.04.2023 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 4-0 HT 2-0 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
05.06.2022 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints 0-3 HT 0-3 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
05.03.2022 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 0-1 HT 0-1 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
02.05.2021 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints 0-3 HT 0-2 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
POST-MATCH St. Albans Saints vs Avondale Heights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avondale Heights nicked a narrow win over St. Albans Saints 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Avondale Heights as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Avondale Heights led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for St. Albans Saints and 2.40 for Avondale Heights.

What was the final score of St. Albans Saints vs Avondale Heights?

St. Albans Saints 1-2 Avondale Heights in the Australia - National Premier League on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Albans Saints vs Avondale Heights?

Before kick-off our model rated an Avondale Heights win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split St. Albans Saints 19%, draw 23%, Avondale Heights 58%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avondale Heights), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Avondale Heights) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →