Al Ain 1-0 Al Wahda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - Cumhurbaşkanlığı Cup, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒19:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
31%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-4.5pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.3pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.7pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ain EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Wahda EU Bookmakers 27%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -41% / -41%
5.56/4.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/1.53
+150% / -74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / +5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
394 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ain
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Al Wahda
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.22 xG 1.12
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
365 Passes 294
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.12.2023 Al Ain Al Ain 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAE
10.03.2023 Al Wahda Al Wahda 0-3 HT 0-1 Al Ain Al Ain BAE
16.12.2022 Al Wahda Al Wahda 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Ain Al Ain BAELK
12.12.2022 Al Ain Al Ain 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAELK
15.10.2022 Al Ain Al Ain 2-3 HT 1-2 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAE
12.03.2022 Al Wahda Al Wahda 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Ain Al Ain BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ain
1-0
AWAY Al Wahda
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Ain vs Al Wahda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ain squeezed past Al Wahda 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Ain as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Al Ain had 56% of the ball to Al Wahda's 44%, shots finished 18-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Al Ain and 1.00 for Al Wahda.

What was the final score of Al Ain vs Al Wahda?

Al Ain 1-0 Al Wahda in the UAE - Cumhurbaşkanlığı Cup on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ain vs Al Wahda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ain win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Al Ain 47%, draw 22%, Al Wahda 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ain), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ain) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BAECK More UAE - Cumhurbaşkanlığı Cup
18 Feb 2024
16:20 Al Ittihad Kalba vs Dibba Al Fujairah Analysis →
16:25 Shabab Al Ahli vs Baniyas SC Analysis →