18/02/2024
·
13:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-1
Hacılar Erciyes vs Develigücü Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
Over
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
42%
4-5
23%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
37%
Home Win
41%
24%
Draw
28%
39%
Away Win
31%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hacılar Erciyes v Develigücü — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Hacılar Erciyes
The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY
Develigücü
The Market 34%
+44% /
+44%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-29%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
57%
Ball Possession
43%
13
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
3
3
Corners
6
396 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
228 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Hacılar Erciyes vs Develigücü Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Hacılar Erciyes
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Develigücü
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Hacılar Erciyes vs Develigücü
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Develigücü saw off Hacılar Erciyes 2-0 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 24% / 39% — and on the day Develigücü made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
What was the final score of Hacılar Erciyes vs Develigücü?
Hacılar Erciyes 0-2 Develigücü in the Turkey - Regional Amateur League on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hacılar Erciyes vs Develigücü?
Before kick-off our model rated an Develigücü win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hacılar Erciyes 37%, draw 24%, Develigücü 39%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Develigücü), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Develigücü)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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More Turkey - Regional Amateur League
18 Feb 2024