FK Sarajevo 1-3 Siroki Brijeg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.4
No
59%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
67%
-9.1pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.3pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+7.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
38%
+3.3pp
59%
BTTS No
62%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Sarajevo EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Siroki Brijeg EU Bookmakers 15%
+7% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -10%
1.80/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.66
-4% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +20%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
405 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Sarajevo
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Siroki Brijeg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.09.2023 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 1-0 HT 0-0 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
29.04.2023 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 2-1 HT 1-1 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSN
05.03.2023 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 1-3 HT 0-2 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
11.09.2022 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 0-0 HT 0-0 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSN
14.05.2022 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 3-0 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
28.11.2021 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 2-1 HT 0-1 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Sarajevo
1-3
AWAY Siroki Brijeg
67% Ball Possession 33%
17 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 8
11 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FK Sarajevo vs Siroki Brijeg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Siroki Brijeg beat FK Sarajevo 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had FK Sarajevo at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FK Sarajevo had 67% of the ball to Siroki Brijeg's 33%, shots finished 17-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Siroki Brijeg led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FK Sarajevo and 1.33 for Siroki Brijeg.

What was the final score of FK Sarajevo vs Siroki Brijeg?

FK Sarajevo 1-3 Siroki Brijeg in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Sarajevo vs Siroki Brijeg?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Sarajevo win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split FK Sarajevo 58%, draw 22%, Siroki Brijeg 20%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FK Sarajevo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
18 Feb 2024
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