18/02/2024
·
01:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-2
Nauas vs Galvez Esporte Clube Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
Over
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
No
44%
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
39%
4-5
28%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
20%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 56% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
41%
Home Win
59%
30%
Draw
23%
30%
Away Win
18%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nauas v Galvez Esporte Clube — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Nauas
The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY
Galvez Esporte Clube
The Market 21%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
56%
Ball Possession
44%
15
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
417 · 84%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
242 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Nauas vs Galvez Esporte Clube Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Nauas
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Galvez Esporte Clube
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
7.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Nauas vs Galvez Esporte Clube
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Nauas and Galvez Esporte Clube couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.
Our pre-match lean was Nauas at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Nauas vs Galvez Esporte Clube?
Nauas 2-2 Galvez Esporte Clube in the Brazil - Acreano on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nauas vs Galvez Esporte Clube?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nauas win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Nauas 41%, draw 30%, Galvez Esporte Clube 30%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nauas), Under 2.5 went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Nauas)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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