Aparecidense 1-1 Goiatuba EC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Goiano 1, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.75
Draw
30%
3.8
Away
47%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
Over
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
No
44%
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
44%
4-5
17%
6+
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
3%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
24%
Home Win
23%
+0.5pp
30%
Draw
23%
+7.0pp
47%
Away Win
54%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aparecidense The Market 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Goiatuba EC The Market 58%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+1% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
198 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aparecidense
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Goiatuba EC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
26.02.2022 Aparecidense Aparecidense 2-0 HT 0-0 Goiatuba EC BRGO1
30.01.2022 Goiatuba EC 1-1 HT 1-1 Aparecidense Aparecidense BRGO1
POST-MATCH Aparecidense vs Goiatuba EC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aparecidense and Goiatuba EC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Goiatuba EC at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Aparecidense had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Aparecidense and 0.50 for Goiatuba EC.

What was the final score of Aparecidense vs Goiatuba EC?

Aparecidense 1-1 Goiatuba EC in the Brazil - Goiano 1 on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aparecidense vs Goiatuba EC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Goiatuba EC win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Aparecidense 24%, draw 30%, Goiatuba EC 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Goiatuba EC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Goiatuba EC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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