Matonense vs EC Sao Bernardo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Matonense v EC Sao Bernardo — Team-Based Signals
Matonense 1-2 EC Sao Bernardo — Actual Match Statistics
EC Sao Bernardo edged past Matonense 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match split (39% / 36% / 25%) promised a tight game; EC Sao Bernardo found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Matonense had 44% of the ball to EC Sao Bernardo's 56%, shots finished 7-15.
What was the final score of Matonense vs EC Sao Bernardo?
Matonense 1-2 EC Sao Bernardo in the Brazil - Paulista A3 on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Matonense vs EC Sao Bernardo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Matonense win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Matonense 39%, draw 36%, EC Sao Bernardo 25%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Matonense) went the other way.