18/02/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-0
Rukinzo vs Olympic Star Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
Over 2.5
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
42%
37%
Draw
27%
30%
Away Win
31%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rukinzo v Olympic Star — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Rukinzo
EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY
Olympic Star
EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-10% /
-10%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-13%
/
-24%
51%
Ball Possession
49%
14
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
4
368 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
334 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Rukinzo vs Olympic Star
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Olympic Star edged past Rukinzo 2-1 away from home.
Our pre-match split (33% / 37% / 30%) promised a tight game; Olympic Star found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Rukinzo vs Olympic Star?
Rukinzo 1-2 Olympic Star in the Burundi - League A on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rukinzo vs Olympic Star?
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Rukinzo 33%, draw 37%, Olympic Star 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.
✗ Match Result (Draw)
✗ Under 2.5
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BUR
More Burundi - League A
18 Feb 2024