FAS 2-1 Municipal Limeno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.75
Over 2.5
36%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.82
No
62%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-0.9pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.1pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
53%
+10.7pp
36%
Over 2.5
47%
-10.7pp
38%
BTTS Yes
51%
-12.5pp
62%
BTTS No
49%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FAS EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal Limeno EU Bookmakers 30%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +11%
1.29/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.33
-5% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FAS
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Municipal Limeno
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.11.2023 FAS FAS 3-2 HT 0-2 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
21.09.2023 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 3-2 HT 1-2 FAS FAS ELSAL
14.04.2022 FAS FAS 1-1 HT 1-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
10.02.2022 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 1-1 HT 0-0 FAS FAS ELSAL
25.10.2021 FAS FAS 2-1 HT 1-1 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
15.08.2021 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 0-3 HT 0-2 FAS FAS ELSAL
POST-MATCH FAS vs Municipal Limeno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FAS nicked a narrow win over Municipal Limeno 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had FAS as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FAS had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for FAS and 1.33 for Municipal Limeno.

What was the final score of FAS vs Municipal Limeno?

FAS 2-1 Municipal Limeno in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FAS vs Municipal Limeno?

Before kick-off our model rated a FAS win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split FAS 46%, draw 22%, Municipal Limeno 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FAS) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FAS) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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