Moghreb Tetouan 1-0 Chabab Mohammedia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - League, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.48
Over 2.5
43%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.33
No
54%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.14
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
5.7
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-6.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
39%
+7.6pp
54%
BTTS No
61%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moghreb Tetouan EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Chabab Mohammedia EU Bookmakers 22%
-8% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
1.01/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.05
-27% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
274 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moghreb Tetouan
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Chabab Mohammedia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2023 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia 0-1 HT 0-0 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan FAS
10.04.2023 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan 1-0 HT 0-0 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia FAS
30.10.2022 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia 4-3 HT 1-2 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan FAS
13.05.2021 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia 0-0 HT 0-0 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan FAS
04.12.2020 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan 0-2 HT 0-0 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia FAS
01.09.2019 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan 1-0 HT 1-0 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia FASK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Moghreb Tetouan
1-0
AWAY Chabab Mohammedia
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Moghreb Tetouan vs Chabab Mohammedia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moghreb Tetouan edged past Chabab Mohammedia 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Moghreb Tetouan as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Moghreb Tetouan had 65% of the ball to Chabab Mohammedia's 35%, shots finished 15-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Moghreb Tetouan had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Moghreb Tetouan and 1.00 for Chabab Mohammedia.

What was the final score of Moghreb Tetouan vs Chabab Mohammedia?

Moghreb Tetouan 1-0 Chabab Mohammedia in the Morocco - League on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moghreb Tetouan vs Chabab Mohammedia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Moghreb Tetouan win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Moghreb Tetouan 47%, draw 28%, Chabab Mohammedia 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Moghreb Tetouan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Moghreb Tetouan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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