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18/02/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
1-2
Strasbourg (K) vs Thonon Evian (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
27%
X/2
17%
X/X
4%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
62%
16%
Draw
22%
30%
Away Win
16%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Strasbourg (K) v Thonon Evian (K) — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Strasbourg (K)
EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY
Thonon Evian (K)
EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
53%
Ball Possession
47%
15
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
3
395 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
271 · 72%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Strasbourg (K) vs Thonon Evian (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Strasbourg (K) saw off Thonon Evian (K) 2-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Strasbourg (K) as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Strasbourg (K) vs Thonon Evian (K)?
Strasbourg (K) 2-0 Thonon Evian (K) in the France - Women's 2nd Division on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Strasbourg (K) vs Thonon Evian (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Strasbourg (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Strasbourg (K) 54%, draw 16%, Thonon Evian (K) 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Strasbourg (K)) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Strasbourg (K))
✗ Over 2.5
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FRK2
More France - Women's 2nd Division
18 Feb 2024