18/02/2024
·
05:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-0
Quiché vs Marquense Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
63%
Over
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
No
60%
Total Goals
0-1
38%
2-3
33%
4-5
23%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 63% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
52%
Home Win
58%
29%
Draw
24%
20%
Away Win
18%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Quiché v Marquense — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Quiché
The Market 62%
Head to Head
AWAY
Marquense
The Market 21%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-22% /
-22%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
+22%
58%
Ball Possession
42%
15
Total Shots
8
5
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
3
474 · 86%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
250 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Quiché vs Marquense Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Quiché
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Marquense
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Quiché vs Marquense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Quiché and Marquense shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match lean was Quiché at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.
What was the final score of Quiché vs Marquense?
Quiché 1-1 Marquense in the Guatemela - Premier League Apertura on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Quiché vs Marquense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Quiché win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Quiché 52%, draw 29%, Marquense 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Quiché), BTTS No went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Quiché)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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