Tusker 2-0 KCB Nairobi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
52%
+0.8pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.3pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tusker EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY KCB Nairobi EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
376 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tusker
1W-2D-0L
AWAY KCB Nairobi
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.01.2024 KCB Nairobi KCB Nairobi 0-5 HT 0-2 Tusker Tusker KEN
02.04.2022 Tusker Tusker 1-1 HT 0-1 KCB Nairobi KCB Nairobi KEN2
15.03.2022 KCB Nairobi KCB Nairobi 0-0 Tusker Tusker KEN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tusker
2-0
AWAY KCB Nairobi
47% Ball Possession 53%
4 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Tusker vs KCB Nairobi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tusker saw off KCB Nairobi 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tusker as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tusker had 47% of the ball to KCB Nairobi's 53%, shots finished 4-4.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Tusker had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Tusker and 0.33 for KCB Nairobi.

What was the final score of Tusker vs KCB Nairobi?

Tusker 2-0 KCB Nairobi in the Kenya - Premier League on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tusker vs KCB Nairobi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tusker win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Tusker 52%, draw 23%, KCB Nairobi 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tusker), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tusker) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KEN More Kenya - Premier League
18 Feb 2024
15:00 Homeboyz vs Leopards SC Analysis →