Puntarenas FC 3-1 Santos de Guapiles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒04:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
22%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
52%
-1.1pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.0pp
22%
Away Win
22%
-0.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.8pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puntarenas FC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Santos de Guapiles EU Bookmakers 26%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
1.20/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.41
-34% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
350 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puntarenas FC
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Santos de Guapiles
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
01.10.2023 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 2-1 HT 0-1 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
30.07.2023 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
19.03.2023 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 1-0 HT 0-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
22.01.2023 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
02.10.2022 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 2-1 HT 2-1 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
19.01.2014 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 2-2 HT 0-1 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Puntarenas FC
3-1
AWAY Santos de Guapiles
62% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 4
4 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Puntarenas FC vs Santos de Guapiles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Puntarenas FC saw off Santos de Guapiles 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Puntarenas FC as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Puntarenas FC had 62% of the ball to Santos de Guapiles's 38%, shots finished 10-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santos de Guapiles led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Puntarenas FC and 1.17 for Santos de Guapiles.

What was the final score of Puntarenas FC vs Santos de Guapiles?

Puntarenas FC 3-1 Santos de Guapiles in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puntarenas FC vs Santos de Guapiles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Puntarenas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Puntarenas FC 51%, draw 27%, Santos de Guapiles 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Puntarenas FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Puntarenas FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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