Ajka 1-0 Mosonmagyarovari TE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB II, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.53
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
28%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.67
Over 2.5
55%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.19
No
48%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
61%
-17.2pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.3pp
29%
Away Win
16%
+12.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
56%
-10.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
44%
+10.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
42%
+10.3pp
48%
BTTS No
58%
-10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajka EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Mosonmagyarovari TE EU Bookmakers 19%
-5% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +0%
1.45/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.41
-24% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +16%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
394 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajka
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Mosonmagyarovari TE
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
16.08.2023 Mosonmagyarovari TE Mosonmagyarovari TE 0-2 HT 0-2 Ajka Ajka MAC2
29.01.2023 Ajka Ajka 1-1 HT 0-1 Mosonmagyarovari TE Mosonmagyarovari TE MAC2
07.08.2022 Mosonmagyarovari TE Mosonmagyarovari TE 2-1 HT 0-1 Ajka Ajka MAC2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajka
1-0
AWAY Mosonmagyarovari TE
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ajka vs Mosonmagyarovari TE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajka squeezed past Mosonmagyarovari TE 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ajka as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ajka had 55% of the ball to Mosonmagyarovari TE's 45%, shots finished 13-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ajka and 1.00 for Mosonmagyarovari TE.

What was the final score of Ajka vs Mosonmagyarovari TE?

Ajka 1-0 Mosonmagyarovari TE in the Hungary - NB II on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajka vs Mosonmagyarovari TE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajka win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ajka 44%, draw 28%, Mosonmagyarovari TE 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajka) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ajka) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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