Garde Nationale 0-1 Nouadhibou — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moritanya - Premier League, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒22:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.9
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
36%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
Over
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
No
45%
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
44%
4-5
20%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
41%
Home Win
49%
-7.9pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.7pp
36%
Away Win
24%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Garde Nationale The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Nouadhibou The Market 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
330 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Garde Nationale
0-1
AWAY Nouadhibou
38% Ball Possession 62%
2 Total Shots 8
0 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Garde Nationale vs Nouadhibou
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nouadhibou squeezed past Garde Nationale 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (41% / 23% / 36%) promised a tight game; Nouadhibou found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Garde Nationale had 38% of the ball to Nouadhibou's 62%, shots finished 2-8.

What was the final score of Garde Nationale vs Nouadhibou?

Garde Nationale 0-1 Nouadhibou in the Moritanya - Premier League on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Garde Nationale vs Nouadhibou?

Before kick-off our model rated a Garde Nationale win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Garde Nationale 41%, draw 23%, Nouadhibou 36%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Garde Nationale) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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