Atlante 2-0 Cimarrones de Sonora — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 18 Feb 2024

Atlante
2-0 HT 2-0
Cimarrones de Sonora
📅18/02/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Mexico - Primera A – 2023/2024

Atlante vs Cimarrones de Sonora Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.37
Draw
29%
4.34
Away
22%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.13
No
47%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
68%
-19.5pp
29%
Draw
20%
+9.2pp
22%
Away Win
12%
+10.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
43%
+10.4pp
47%
BTTS No
57%
-10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atlante v Cimarrones de Sonora — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlante EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Cimarrones de Sonora EU Bookmakers 15%
+1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
1.83/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/2.34
-5% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / -24%
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
379 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 206 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.1 Yellow Cards 5.0

Atlante vs Cimarrones de Sonora Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atlante
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Cimarrones de Sonora
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
The Meetings
19.11.2023 Atlante Atlante 4-2 HT 1-1 Cimarrones de Sonora Cimarrones de Sonora MEK2
16.11.2023 Cimarrones de Sonora Cimarrones de Sonora 2-0 HT 1-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
14.08.2023 Cimarrones de Sonora Cimarrones de Sonora 0-0 HT 0-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
25.01.2023 Cimarrones de Sonora Cimarrones de Sonora 1-0 HT 0-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
09.09.2022 Atlante Atlante 2-2 HT 1-1 Cimarrones de Sonora Cimarrones de Sonora MEK2
14.03.2022 Atlante Atlante 1-1 HT 1-1 Cimarrones de Sonora Cimarrones de Sonora MEK2
POST-MATCH Atlante vs Cimarrones de Sonora
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atlante saw off Cimarrones de Sonora 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Atlante as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cimarrones de Sonora led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Atlante and 1.33 for Cimarrones de Sonora.

What was the final score of Atlante vs Cimarrones de Sonora?

Atlante 2-0 Cimarrones de Sonora in the Mexico - Primera A on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlante vs Cimarrones de Sonora?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atlante win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Atlante 49%, draw 29%, Cimarrones de Sonora 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atlante) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atlante) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MEK2 More Mexico - Primera A
18 Feb 2024
02:05 CD Tapatio vs Monarcas Morelia Analysis →
03:00 Lobos ULMX vs Racing Porto Palmeiras Analysis →
18:00 Monterrey U23 vs Toluca U23 Analysis →