Club Olimpia 1-1 Cerro Porteno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒00:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.17
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
48%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.8
Over 2.5
53%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
28%
-1.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
48%
Away Win
46%
+1.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.6pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Olimpia EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro Porteno EU Bookmakers 50%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +11%
0.90/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.00
-24% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +6%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
300 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Olimpia
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Cerro Porteno
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
29.10.2023 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 0-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
13.08.2023 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 1-1 HT 0-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
14.05.2023 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 2-2 HT 2-1 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
05.03.2023 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 2-2 HT 0-1 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
16.10.2022 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 1-2 HT 0-1 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
14.08.2022 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 2-0 HT 1-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Olimpia
1-1
AWAY Cerro Porteno
32% Ball Possession 68%
13 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Club Olimpia vs Cerro Porteno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Olimpia and Cerro Porteno couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Cerro Porteno at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Club Olimpia had 32% of the ball to Cerro Porteno's 68%, shots finished 13-18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Olimpia had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Club Olimpia and 1.00 for Cerro Porteno.

What was the final score of Club Olimpia vs Cerro Porteno?

Club Olimpia 1-1 Cerro Porteno in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Olimpia vs Cerro Porteno?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Club Olimpia 26%, draw 26%, Cerro Porteno 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cerro Porteno), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cerro Porteno) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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