Botosani 2-2 Universitatea Craiova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.75
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
46%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.84
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
4.02
6+ Goals
10%
18.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
13%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
23%
+4.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.5pp
46%
Away Win
52%
-5.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.8pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botosani EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Universitatea Craiova EU Bookmakers 56%
+2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -15%
0.81/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/0.97
-23% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -10%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
222 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botosani
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Universitatea Craiova
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.24 xG 4.09
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 6
226 Passes 382
3 Yellow Cards 4
01.10.2023 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 5-1 HT 2-1 Botosani Botosani ROM
21.01.2023 Botosani Botosani 1-0 HT 1-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
29.08.2022 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 1-0 HT 0-0 Botosani Botosani ROM
27.05.2022 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 2-0 HT 1-0 Botosani Botosani ROM
06.12.2021 Botosani Botosani 2-2 HT 2-1 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
01.08.2021 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 1-2 HT 1-0 Botosani Botosani ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botosani
2-2
AWAY Universitatea Craiova
30% Ball Possession 70%
5 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Botosani vs Universitatea Craiova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botosani and Universitatea Craiova couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Universitatea Craiova at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Botosani had 30% of the ball to Universitatea Craiova's 70%, shots finished 5-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitatea Craiova led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Botosani and 1.83 for Universitatea Craiova.

What was the final score of Botosani vs Universitatea Craiova?

Botosani 2-2 Universitatea Craiova in the Romania - 1st Division on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botosani vs Universitatea Craiova?

Before kick-off our model rated an Universitatea Craiova win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Botosani 28%, draw 26%, Universitatea Craiova 46%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Universitatea Craiova), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Universitatea Craiova) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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