Bugesera 0-0 APR Kigali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ruanda - National Futbol League, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.66
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
32%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
Over
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
61%
No
39%
Total Goals
0-1
19%
2-3
44%
4-5
26%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
7%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
41%
Home Win
56%
-15.3pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.1pp
32%
Away Win
21%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bugesera The Market 60%
Head to Head
AWAY APR Kigali The Market 25%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+19% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
375 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Bugesera vs APR Kigali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bugesera and APR Kigali played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Bugesera at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Bugesera vs APR Kigali?

Bugesera 0-0 APR Kigali in the Ruanda - National Futbol League on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bugesera vs APR Kigali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bugesera win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Bugesera 41%, draw 28%, APR Kigali 32%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bugesera) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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