Al Hilal Riyadh 3-1 Al Raed — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 18 Feb 2024

Al Hilal Riyadh
3-1 HT 2-0
Al Raed
📅18/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✓
Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League – 2025/2026

Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Raed Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.22
Draw
19%
5.71
Away
15%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.96
Over 2.5
60%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
7.09
2-3 Goals
39%
2.18
4-5 Goals
29%
2.42
6+ Goals
12%
4.67
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
77%
-11.2pp
19%
Draw
14%
+4.2pp
15%
Away Win
8%
+7.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
30%
+9.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
70%
-9.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.2pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Hilal Riyadh v Al Raed — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Raed EU Bookmakers 11%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +17%
2.66/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.63
+1% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / +11%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
452 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 78%
40.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
25.3 Crosses 13.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2

Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Raed Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Raed
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.77 xG 0.73
70% Ball Possession 30%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
575 Passes 199
89% Pass Accuracy 73%
35 Box Touches 10
28 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.08.2023 Al Raed Al Raed 0-4 HT 0-1 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
31.05.2023 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 3-2 HT 2-0 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
10.01.2023 Al Raed Al Raed 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
13.03.2022 Al Raed Al Raed 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
20.12.2021 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Raed Al Raed SAKK
23.10.2021 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 3-2 HT 0-0 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD

Al Hilal Riyadh 3-1 Al Raed — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh
3-1
AWAY Al Raed
1.96 xG 0.28
74% Ball Possession 26%
17 Total Shots 2
6 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
675 Passes 170
91% Pass Accuracy 69%
37 Box Touches 11
13 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Raed
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hilal Riyadh saw off Al Raed 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Hilal Riyadh as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Al Hilal Riyadh had 74% of the ball to Al Raed's 26%, shots finished 17-2, expected goals 1.96 to 0.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Hilal Riyadh had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Al Hilal Riyadh and 0.83 for Al Raed.

What was the final score of Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Raed?

Al Hilal Riyadh 3-1 Al Raed in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Raed?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Al Hilal Riyadh 66%, draw 19%, Al Raed 15%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SUUD More Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League
18 Feb 2024
20:00 Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Riyadh Analysis →