18/02/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-3
2nd Score
0-4
ES Rades vs Hammam-Lif Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
25%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
16%
18%
Draw
20%
60%
Away Win
64%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
ES Rades v Hammam-Lif — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
ES Rades
EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY
Hammam-Lif
EU Bookmakers 69%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+10% /
+10%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+30%
/
+51%
39%
Ball Possession
61%
8
Total Shots
15
3
Shots on Target
6
3
Corners
6
236 · 72%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
427 · 83%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
4.0
POST-MATCH
ES Rades vs Hammam-Lif
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Hammam-Lif squeezed past ES Rades 1-0 away from home.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hammam-Lif as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of ES Rades vs Hammam-Lif?
ES Rades 0-1 Hammam-Lif in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for ES Rades vs Hammam-Lif?
Before kick-off our model rated an Hammam-Lif win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split ES Rades 22%, draw 18%, Hammam-Lif 60%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hammam-Lif), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Hammam-Lif)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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TUN2
More Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme
18 Feb 2024