18/02/2024
·
15:15
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
2-2
Cong An Nhan Dan vs Ho Chi Minh Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
26%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
BTTS Yes
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
68%
26%
Draw
20%
17%
Away Win
12%
43%
Under 2.5
46%
57%
Over 2.5
54%
56%
BTTS Yes
44%
44%
BTTS No
56%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cong An Nhan Dan v Ho Chi Minh — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Cong An Nhan Dan
EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY
Ho Chi Minh
EU Bookmakers 15%
-22% /
-22%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-2% /
-2%
1.39/0.89
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.14/1.79
-23%
/
-16%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+38%
/
-1%
60%
Ball Possession
40%
15
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
2
411 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
237 · 69%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.3
Yellow Cards
1.9
Cong An Nhan Dan vs Ho Chi Minh Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Cong An Nhan Dan
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Ho Chi Minh
5.00
Avg Goals (FT)
3.00
48%
Ball Possession
52%
15
Total Shots
16
8
Shots on Target
6
3
Corners
3
3
Yellow Cards
2
The Meetings
21.05.2023
Ho Chi Minh
3-5
HT 2-4
Cong An Nhan Dan
VİET
3-5
HT 2-4
Cong An Nhan Dan
VİET
POST-MATCH
Cong An Nhan Dan vs Ho Chi Minh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Cong An Nhan Dan beat Ho Chi Minh 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Cong An Nhan Dan as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Cong An Nhan Dan vs Ho Chi Minh?
Cong An Nhan Dan 2-0 Ho Chi Minh in the Vietnam - V-League 1 on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cong An Nhan Dan vs Ho Chi Minh?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cong An Nhan Dan win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Cong An Nhan Dan 57%, draw 26%, Ho Chi Minh 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cong An Nhan Dan) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Cong An Nhan Dan)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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VİET
More Vietnam - V-League 1
18 Feb 2024