USM Khenchela 1-3 JS Saoura — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 18 Feb 2025

📅18/02/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
22%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.45
Over 2.5
34%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.29
No
64%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
1.98
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
14%
5.79
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.5pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.9pp
22%
Away Win
22%
+0.6pp
66%
Under 2.5
65%
+1.2pp
34%
Over 2.5
35%
-1.2pp
36%
BTTS Yes
40%
-3.5pp
64%
BTTS No
60%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Khenchela EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY JS Saoura EU Bookmakers 25%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -16%
1.22/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.29
-8% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
258 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM Khenchela
2W-2D-2L
AWAY JS Saoura
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.01.2025 JS Saoura JS Saoura 2-1 HT 0-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYRK
28.09.2024 JS Saoura JS Saoura 1-1 HT 0-1 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
26.05.2024 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 1-0 HT 0-0 JS Saoura JS Saoura CZYR
06.01.2024 JS Saoura JS Saoura 0-1 HT 0-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
06.06.2023 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 0-0 HT 0-0 JS Saoura JS Saoura CZYR
06.11.2022 JS Saoura JS Saoura 1-0 HT 0-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME USM Khenchela
1-3
AWAY JS Saoura
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH USM Khenchela vs JS Saoura
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JS Saoura beat USM Khenchela 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was USM Khenchela at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, USM Khenchela had 61% of the ball to JS Saoura's 39%, shots finished 13-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for USM Khenchela and 0.67 for JS Saoura.

What was the final score of USM Khenchela vs JS Saoura?

USM Khenchela 1-3 JS Saoura in the Algeria - 1st Division on 18/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Khenchela vs JS Saoura?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM Khenchela win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split USM Khenchela 46%, draw 32%, JS Saoura 22%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (USM Khenchela) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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