KTP Kotka 0-4 HJK Helsinki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - League Cup, 18 Feb 2025

📅18/02/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.91
Draw
25%
4.95
Away
54%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.61
Over 2.5
55%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.7
No
55%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
5.53
2-3 Goals
42%
2.0
4-5 Goals
24%
2.48
6+ Goals
8%
5.48
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
32%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
13%
+7.5pp
25%
Draw
17%
+8.6pp
54%
Away Win
70%
-16.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
35%
+10.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
65%
-10.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.4pp
55%
BTTS No
45%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KTP Kotka EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY HJK Helsinki EU Bookmakers 75%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.22/1.01
+12% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% / +15%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
264 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 433 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KTP Kotka
0W-1D-5L
AWAY HJK Helsinki
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.91 xG 2.16
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
250 Passes 389
72% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 32
8 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.06.2023 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 1-0 HT 0-0 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN
09.05.2023 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 3-3 HT 0-2 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
04.03.2023 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 1-2 HT 1-2 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FLK
07.08.2021 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 0-1 HT 0-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
24.06.2021 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 2-0 HT 1-0 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN
04.03.2021 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 6-1 HT 4-1 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİK
POST-MATCH KTP Kotka vs HJK Helsinki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HJK Helsinki swept aside KTP Kotka 4-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had HJK Helsinki as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, HJK Helsinki led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for KTP Kotka and 2.50 for HJK Helsinki.

What was the final score of KTP Kotka vs HJK Helsinki?

KTP Kotka 0-4 HJK Helsinki in the Finland - League Cup on 18/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KTP Kotka vs HJK Helsinki?

Before kick-off our model rated an HJK Helsinki win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split KTP Kotka 21%, draw 25%, HJK Helsinki 54%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HJK Helsinki), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (HJK Helsinki) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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