Burnley U21 1-3 Wigan Athletic U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 18 Feb 2025

📅18/02/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.29
Draw
24%
5.71
Away
19%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
Over Pick
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.5
No
40%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1
16%
2-3
36%
4-5
31%
6+
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
57%
Home Win
73%
-16.1pp
24%
Draw
15%
+9.3pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+6.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
62%
-2.9pp
40%
BTTS No
38%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burnley U21 The Market 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Wigan Athletic U21 The Market 15%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -8%
4.68/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/2.92
+64% / +89% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +5%
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
399 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burnley U21
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Wigan Athletic U21
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
22.10.2024 Wigan Athletic U21 Wigan Athletic U21 0-2 HT 0-0 Burnley U21 Burnley U21 INGPDL
09.01.2024 Burnley U21 Burnley U21 1-1 HT 1-0 Wigan Athletic U21 Wigan Athletic U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH Burnley U21 vs Wigan Athletic U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wigan Athletic U21 saw off Burnley U21 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Burnley U21 carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Burnley U21 had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Burnley U21 and 0.50 for Wigan Athletic U21.

What was the final score of Burnley U21 vs Wigan Athletic U21?

Burnley U21 1-3 Wigan Athletic U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 18/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burnley U21 vs Wigan Athletic U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Burnley U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Burnley U21 57%, draw 24%, Wigan Athletic U21 19%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Burnley U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Burnley U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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