18/02/2025
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-0
Al Ahed vs Safa Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
33%
Draw
32%
31%
Away Win
26%
53%
Under 2.5
53%
47%
Over 2.5
47%
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
48%
BTTS No
49%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Ahed v Safa — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al Ahed
EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY
Safa
EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
57%
Ball Possession
43%
11
Total Shots
10
3
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
343 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
239 · 70%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Al Ahed vs Safa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Ahed and Safa fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.
Our pre-match split (36% / 33% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
What was the final score of Al Ahed vs Safa?
Al Ahed 0-0 Safa in the Lebanon - Premier League on 18/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Ahed vs Safa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahed win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Al Ahed 36%, draw 33%, Safa 31%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Ahed), BTTS Yes went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Al Ahed)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
LUBN
More Lebanon - Premier League
18 Feb 2025