Ghazl El Mehalla 1-0 Al Masry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 18 Feb 2025

Ghazl El Mehalla
1-0 HT 0-0
Al Masry
📅18/02/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Egypt - Premier League – 2024/2025

Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Masry Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
32%
2.7
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.33
Over 2.5
37%
3.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.51
No
60%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
1.68
2-3 Goals
50%
1.87
4-5 Goals
14%
7.93
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.5pp
32%
Draw
33%
-1.7pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+3.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
72%
-9.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
28%
+9.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
36%
+4.3pp
60%
BTTS No
64%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ghazl El Mehalla v Al Masry — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ghazl El Mehalla EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Masry EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +15%
1.30/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/0.96
+13% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
251 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
24.3 Crosses 16.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4

Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Masry Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ghazl El Mehalla
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Al Masry
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.87 xG 1.24
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
242 Passes 318
71% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
07.06.2023 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
20.01.2023 Al Masry Al Masry 1-1 HT 0-0 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSR
11.05.2022 Al Masry Al Masry 1-1 HT 0-0 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSR
28.10.2021 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
14.05.2021 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
30.12.2020 Al Masry Al Masry 1-0 HT 0-0 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSR

Ghazl El Mehalla 1-0 Al Masry — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ghazl El Mehalla
1-0
AWAY Al Masry
1.27 xG 1.63
28% Ball Possession 72%
6 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 10
149 Passes 509
67% Pass Accuracy 89%
9 Box Touches 44
12 Crosses 47
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Masry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ghazl El Mehalla squeezed past Al Masry 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 32% / 36% — and on the day Ghazl El Mehalla made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Ghazl El Mehalla had 28% of the ball to Al Masry's 72%, shots finished 6-20, expected goals 1.27 to 1.63.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Masry led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ghazl El Mehalla and 1.17 for Al Masry.

What was the final score of Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Masry?

Ghazl El Mehalla 1-0 Al Masry in the Egypt - Premier League on 18/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Masry?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Masry win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Ghazl El Mehalla 32%, draw 32%, Al Masry 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Al Masry) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Masry) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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